Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.442422 3.650603 3.873378 4.131040 4.422833 4.745468 5.132673
2025-09-21 3.099652 3.374374 3.683834 4.063231 4.523161 5.073028 5.797399
2025-09-28 2.898865 3.222676 3.603085 4.093426 4.725806 5.541469 6.727163
2025-10-05 2.836489 3.219913 3.690039 4.329232 5.213098 6.462683 8.533877
2025-10-12 2.716691 3.131141 3.655677 4.398850 5.486513 7.152738 10.291584
2025-10-19 2.609504 3.045925 3.613284 4.446626 5.731262 7.859706 12.470028
2025-10-26 2.546177 3.010095 3.629933 4.575567 6.119089 8.924432 16.261933
2025-11-02 2.448499 2.919652 3.561060 4.566077 6.276712 9.619582 19.996913
2025-11-09 2.315865 2.772766 3.400350 4.396510 6.127754 9.640855 21.689353
2025-11-16 2.210950 2.658117 3.277948 4.275015 6.046121 9.789866 24.238797
2025-11-23 2.142234 2.589794 3.217821 4.246627 6.130625 10.356023 30.177013
2025-11-30 2.084437 2.533458 3.171104 4.234649 6.243363 11.042015 39.960550
2025-12-07 1.999665 2.440670 3.072871 4.142648 6.214908 11.441182 52.621653
2025-12-14 1.916237 2.346622 2.968232 4.032320 6.136600 11.694118 70.196252
2025-12-21 1.866616 2.299083 2.931922 4.037635 6.307711 12.856412 184.820070
2025-12-28 1.866507 2.323299 3.008052 4.251693 7.001334 16.649323 NaN
2026-01-04 1.832872 2.295803 2.999914 4.309689 7.348363 19.691866 NaN
2026-01-11 1.798238 2.264859 2.983756 4.350173 7.666229 23.396430 NaN
2026-01-18 1.780382 2.258240 3.006764 4.470505 8.249860 31.335826 NaN
2026-01-25 1.740896 2.216344 2.967652 4.459482 8.447336 37.300565 NaN
2026-02-01 1.678441 2.136521 2.860133 4.296099 8.129267 35.661597 NaN
2026-02-08 1.627063 2.072448 2.777079 4.179118 7.944836 35.887839 NaN
2026-02-15 1.593392 2.034874 2.737689 4.151578 8.047801 41.515359 NaN